logo
Canada


Beauport—Limoilou


Latest projection: April 21, 2024
Toss up CPC/BQ
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Beauport—Limoilou 34% ± 7%▲ 34% ± 7%▼ 16% ± 5%▲ 10% ± 4%▼ 4% ± 3%▼ BQ 2021 31.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauport—Limoilou 51%▲ 49%▼ <1% Odds of winning | April 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 16% ± 5% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 10% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 34% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Beauport—Limoilou 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC <1% CPC 49% NDP <1% BQ 51% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Recent electoral history | Beauport—Limoilou



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 30.2% 31.1% 34% ± 7% CPC 27.2% 30.4% 34% ± 7% LPC 25.2% 24.7% 16% ± 5% NDP 10.6% 9.7% 10% ± 4% GPC 4.1% 2.0% 4% ± 3% PPC 2.1% 0.3% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.